first_imgShare Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest Our weather pattern looks to calm down and dry out some over the coming week to 10 days. In fact, in the next week, we have only one minor chance of moisture for the entire state, and the totals there are significantly lower than our look at the same system last week. So, it seems we finally are trying to morph into some semblance of a normal July weather pattern. We are dry today, tomorrow and most of Wednesday, as sunshine dominates. We saw a different air mass move into eastern corn belt yesterday behind the frontal passage Saturday and yesterday morning. This will lead to lower humidity values still over the next 3 days, although we will slowly walk those humidity values higher the closer we get to Wednesday afternoon and evening. Clouds will also begin to increase Wednesday afternoon and evening. Our one somewhat organized chance of moisture over the next week comes Thursday, as a cold front looks to sag through the state. This front looks significantly less impressive than it did last week, and at this point we would suggest only a few hundredths to a tenth or two across 60% of the state. Those totals are lower and the coverage well below our look from last week. There will be plenty of areas that miss out on that action. However, one area to watch later Thursday afternoon will be far east and southeast Ohio, where we can see a strengthening of action. Most of the thunderstorms likely miss us east into Western PA, but we need to keep an eye out for some totals up closer to half an inch before midnight Thursday night. Behind that front, we go dry again for Friday and then the weekend too. Humidity values back off, and we should see good evaporation. That will be another good window for field and forage work.Early next week looks interesting. We cant rule out a few scattered showers Monday over the western half of Ohio. These are mostly a product of some heat based instability, but totals will be under a quarter of an inch, an coverage will be only about 40%. But, the interesting part of the pattern comes from something else. We are watching a tropical system that seems to be headed for the gulf coast areas late this week and weekend. That storm is being projected to move north, and its remains may make it through the Tennessee valley and into the lower Ohio valley early next week. IF that comes to be, that would spell showers for southern Indiana and Illinois next Monday, and then a slow spread north through Tuesday and perhaps Wednesday. AT this time, models are projecting some of this tropical moisture moving into far western OH, mostly west of I-75 on Tuesday. However, without that tropical moisture pushing north, we should be able to continue a dry pattern. So, at this time we feel comfortable saying that most of Ohio stays dry for Tuesday and Wednesday, but we really have to watch the western areas. Models typically get way overzealous on the first tropical system or two, but with this one in July, rather than May or June…we don’t want to dismiss anything too quickly. The map below shows 10 day rain potential and includes some tropical influence on western Ohio at this time…in fact, that is the only reason we have some of those bigger rain totals in the west. Temps over the next 10 days will be near normal. As humidity builds, we have to leave the door open to temps feeling much warmer than normal, but we think overall, this is a typical July set up on temps. The combination of temps and some rain free days should be very beneficial to a large part of the state.last_img

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